Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.056513 0.064296 0.072372 0.081348 0.091014 0.101080 0.112326
2025-03-09 0.040227 0.050906 0.062711 0.076584 0.092300 0.109421 0.129351
2025-03-16 0.029588 0.041528 0.055534 0.072826 0.093264 0.116341 0.144060
2025-03-23 0.024967 0.038209 0.054506 0.075401 0.100877 0.130383 0.166595
2025-03-30 0.021123 0.035142 0.053188 0.077123 0.107103 0.142572 0.186881
2025-04-06 0.018815 0.033679 0.053560 0.080673 0.115368 0.157104 0.209949
2025-04-13 0.015486 0.030270 0.050951 0.080050 0.118172 0.164851 0.224801
2025-04-20 0.014548 0.030198 0.052755 0.085139 0.128194 0.181495 0.250543
2025-04-27 0.011711 0.026769 0.049508 0.083161 0.128884 0.186395 0.261824
2025-05-04 0.010635 0.026019 0.050005 0.086226 0.136136 0.199550 0.283371
2025-05-11 0.008812 0.023696 0.047929 0.085499 0.138210 0.206043 0.296580
2025-05-18 0.007808 0.022681 0.047737 0.087376 0.143747 0.216977 0.315415
2025-05-25 0.006880 0.021794 0.047874 0.090028 0.150821 0.230566 0.338540
2025-06-01 0.005062 0.018722 0.044188 0.086825 0.149720 0.233494 0.348210
2025-06-08 0.003568 0.015868 0.040507 0.083333 0.147994 0.235461 0.356586
2025-06-15 0.003127 0.015419 0.041003 0.086332 0.155569 0.249938 0.381336
2025-06-22 0.002631 0.014675 0.040867 0.088272 0.161601 0.262371 0.403503
2025-06-29 0.002388 0.014580 0.041932 0.092163 0.170535 0.278827 0.431089
2025-07-06 0.001793 0.013172 0.040292 0.091491 0.172650 0.285930 0.446338
2025-07-13 0.001748 0.013596 0.042341 0.097036 0.184128 0.306031 0.478992
2025-07-20 0.001202 0.011934 0.039929 0.094883 0.183921 0.309905 0.490009
2025-07-27 0.001059 0.011793 0.040706 0.098220 0.192085 0.325495 0.516808
2025-08-03 0.000744 0.010659 0.039180 0.097429 0.193859 0.332112 0.531555